Thursday, 9 July 2015

der große Markt Warnung

nvestors 'Insights Kommentare

Es gibt wenig Zweifel, dass wir in der Mitte von einem perfekten finanziellen Sturm sind, dass die Geschichte vielleicht eines Tages Rekord als "die Mutter aller Global Market Crashes". Zinsen waren zu niedrig, zu lange, dass nicht nachhaltige Blasen im Finanz- und Immobilienmärkte auf der ganzen Welt.Das Mal ist es anders war wieder der übliche Mantra erstellt.
Das ist es nie. Er wird es nie sein. Es konnte nicht reicht!

Mathematisch alle bestritten, dass eine Mean-Reversion der Zinsen immer auftreten würden und dadurch überall zusammenbrechen globalen Spekulationsblase Werte um 50% oder mehr. Erraten Sie, was? Jemand kaufte das letzte Tulpe, und wir jetzt erleben, die Reversion mit der vollen Wucht der Barwert mathematischen Konsequenzen.

Darüber hinaus sind viele Volkswirtschaften mit Blick auf Schuldenkrise und realwirtschaftlichen und Klimawandel verursacht entweder Wasser, Kapital oder Nahrungsmittelknappheit. Sie können nicht Volkswirtschaften ohne Nahrung, Wasser und Energie; irgendwie Nobelpreis noch Ivy League Ökonomen nie dieses heraus.

Die FED-Charts sagen uns die Finanzmarkt Wetter ist sehr schlecht. Wall Street ist immer sehr besorgt, und die heutige Welt Schlagzeilen erzählen die Geschichte von einem freien Fall in Werte in Japan, China, Australien und anderen Ländern, die alle großen Aktien-, Renten- und wirtschaftlichen Zusammenbrüchen der Vergangenheit und der jüngsten Geschichte widerspiegelt. Tiefer Preise für Tage und Wochen am Ende - weil wir gerade aus der größeren Narren laufen. Die wahren Gesetze von Angebot und Nachfrage.

Wenn haben das ungute Gefühl, dass Dinge viel schlimmer sind. Eine Sache, die Sie brauchen sich keine Sorgen zu machen, sind Sie nicht allein.

Und denken Sie daran, dass alte Sprichwort - wenn sein über seine über!

 Weiterlesen

The Big Market Warning

Investors' Insights Comments 

There is little doubt we are in the midst of a perfect financial storm, that history will perhaps one day record as "The Mother of All Global Market Crashes". Interest rates were too low, for too long, that created unsustainable bubbles in financial  and real estate markets around the world.This time it is different was again the usual mantra.
It never is. It Never Will Be. It couldn't last! 

Mathematically, everyone denied that a mean reversion of interest rates would ever occur and thereby collapse global asset bubble values everywhere by 50% or more. Guess what? Somebody bought that last tulip, and we are now experiencing the reversion with the full brunt of its present value mathematical consequences.  

Moreover, many economies are facing debt woes and physical economic and climate change issues causing either water,capital or food shortages. You cannot run economies without food, water and energy; somehow Nobel Prize nor Ivy League economists can never  figure this out. 

The FED charts tell us the financial market weather is very bad. Wall St is getting very worried and today's  world headlines tell the story of a free fall in values in Japan, China, Australia and elsewhere, that mirrors all the great stock, bond  and economic meltdowns of past and recent history. Plunging prices for  days and weeks on end - because we just run out of bigger fools..The real laws of supply and demand.

If you have that sinking feeling that things are about to get much worse. One thing you need not worry about, you are not alone.

And remember that old adage  -  when its over, its over!




Sunday, 5 July 2015

Paul Krugman, SPECIAL #NYT Op-Ed, Meanwhile In China




Meanwhile In China

I am, of course, anxiously awaiting the results of Greferendum, although the next few days in Greece will be terrible whoever wins. But we shouldn’t lose sight of other risks facing the world. Some of us have been worrying quite a lot about China — an economy that at market exchange rates is 40 times the size of Greece, and is severely unbalanced. 


Shanghai stock index


And in the past month, mainly in the past few days, the Shanghai stock index has fallen almost 30 percent. This doesn’t necessarily mean that the feared crisis has come, but it’s definitely not a good sign.


http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/


Image result for the new york times opinion paul krugman



The Conscience of a Liberal


First Financial Insights Inc.


Our Comments:  July 5, 2015

 Indeed there is long and ever-growing list of economic news disasters percolating out there; starting with Global Bonds, Real Estate Bubbles, Brazil, Chicago, Pensions, Spain, Italy, Japan, UK, Ukraine, Stock Crashes, Mexico, Oil Supplies, and on and on...





Not to impolitely forget - there's that nice ole Pope Francis fella with all those “So-GOP-Called”  - 188 pages of encyclical ranting and nonsense regarding the global climate. Imagine, him thinking we have a possible melting problem in the Arctic and Antarctic. “He is not even a scientist,  and plus, he lives in Europe somewhere - so what does he know? Boy, that guy has some nerve! “







Anyway, he has much better connections than they could ever hope for, apparently.

Hence, Greece somehow seems like a pimple on the elephant's back in the  more broader and larger context of global turmoil. Yet, there is a shining beacon of good news coming out of Iceland with reports of a miraculous economic turnaround since its meltdown. Why? They are supposedly one of the few who had actually  - JAILED THE BANKERS!!!.



Not only, was it historically a great economic-political-decision and priceless-lesson for all of us, but it also leaves the door wide-open  to another valuable question -  WHY STOP THERE?



Image result for first financial insights
July 5, 2015
Toronto, Canada
Image result for first financial insights










Saturday, 4 July 2015

"The Vatican Insider" :The Pope And His Boss Issue Climate Warning







Popes Warning On Climate Change 


Stirs Controversy 





THE  POPE'S 2015 GLOBAL WARMING SUMMIT

 THE VATICAN INSIDER



On the day he was elected pope, Cardinal Jorge Bergoglio of

 Argentina stood before a line of his fellow cardinals to 

receive their blessings.


"Don't forget the poor," whispered his Brazilian friend

, Cardinal Claudio Hummes, as the two embraced in the

 Sistine Chapel. And with that, Bergoglio knew the papal

 name he would choose.










VATICAN

TRAILER

Below



"Immediately I thought of St. Francis of Assisi," he later said

. "A man of poverty, a man who loved and protected creation."


To the delight of many around the world - and the

 consternation of many others - Francis on Thursday will

 honor his namesake with an encyclical asserting that modern

 climate change is real, mostly man-made, and of compelling 

moral concern because global warming is an affliction

 wrought by wealthy nations with disproportionate impact on

the poor. 








JOIN US!










THE  POPE'S 2015 GLOBAL WARMING SUMMIT


Sunday, 21 June 2015

Why Globalization & Free Trade Deals Destroy Middle Class Hopes And Dreams

Twelve Reasons Why Globalization is a Huge Problem


 


"What is clear is that a very small elite have benefited from globalization and free trade. The terrible costs to the vast majority are without measure nor historic precedent - the people were fooled outright by their evil propaganda and criminal lies."  



12. Globalization ties countries together, so that if one country collapses, the collapse is likely to ripple through the system, pulling many other countries with it.
History includes many examples of civilizations that started from a small base, gradually grew to over-utilize their resource base, and then collapsed. We are now dealing with a world situation which is not too different. The big difference this time is that a large number of countries is involved, and these countries are increasingly interdependent. In my post 2013: Beginning of Long-Term Recession, I showed that there are significant parallels between financial dislocations now happening in the United States and the types of changes which happened in other societies, prior to collapse.  My analysis was based on  the model of collapse developed in the book Secular Cycles by Peter Turchin and Sergey Nefedov.
Figure 10. US Balance on Current Account, based on data of US Bureau of Economic Analysis. Amounts in 2012$ calculated based on US CPI-Urban of the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

It is not just the United States that is in perilous financial condition. Many European countries and Japan are in similarly poor condition. The failure of one country has the potential to pull many others down, and with it much of the system. The only countries that remain safe are the ones that have not grown to depend on globalization–which is probably not many today–perhaps landlocked countries of Africa.


In the past, when one area collapsed, there was less interdependence. When one area collapsed, it was possible to let cropland “rest” and deforested areas regrow. With regeneration, and perhaps new technology, it was possible for a new civilization to grow in the same area later. If we are dealing with a world-wide collapse, it will be much more difficult to follow this model.

Crime, drugs and disease are imported without control




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